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Frontiers in Endocrinology

Frontiers Media SA

Preprints posted in the last 7 days, ranked by how well they match Frontiers in Endocrinology's content profile, based on 53 papers previously published here. The average preprint has a 0.09% match score for this journal, so anything above that is already an above-average fit.

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Association of body composition, daily physical activity and handgrip strength with mortality, cardiovascular events and cancers in Japanese patients with diabetes

Hamasaki, H.

2026-06-10 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355239 medRxiv
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Aims: Sarcopenia and sarcopenic obesity are associated with increased risks of cardiovascular (CV) disease and mortality. This study examined the associations of body composition and daily physical activity with mortality, CV events and cancer in patients with diabetes. Methods: This prospective cohort study included patients with diabetes treated at a specialised clinic in Japan between January 2018 and March 2023. Body composition, including visceral adipose tissue (VAT), was assessed by bioelectrical impedance analysis. Daily physical activity was evaluated using the non-exercise activity thermogenesis (NEAT) questionnaire, and handgrip strength (HGS) was measured by dynamometry. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess associations with mortality, CV events, and cancer. Results: Among 2,024 patients (mean age 63.0 years, BMI 24.6 kg/m^2, HbA1c 7.8%), NEAT, HGS, and VAT were not independently associated with all-cause mortality. Higher VAT was associated with increased cancer risk (HR 1.485; 95% CI 1.101-2.003; p = 0.009). Higher HGS was inversely associated with CV event risk (HR 0.951; 95% CI 0.919-0.984; p = 0.004). NEAT was not associated with any outcome. Conclusions: Higher VAT was associated with increased cancer risk, whereas higher HGS was protective against CV events. Incorporating body composition and HGS assessments into clinical practice may improve risk stratification and management in patients with diabetes.

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Efficacy and Safety of Traditional Chinese Medicine in Obesity Management: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Zhang, Y.; Wang, Y.

2026-06-08 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354905 medRxiv
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Background: Obesity is a global health crisis, contributing to chronic diseases such as diabetes, cardiovascular disease, and metabolic syndrome. Traditional Chinese Medicine (TCM) has been used in East Asia to manage obesity, but evidence on its efficacy and safety remains limited. This systematic review and meta-analysis assess clinical evidence from randomized controlled trials (RCTs) on TCM for obesity treatment. Methods: We systematically searched PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science from inception to April 2026. Eligible RCTs compared TCM interventions with placebo or conventional treatments in obese patients. Two reviewers independently conducted screening, data extraction, and quality assessment. Meta-analysis was conducted using a random-effects model to calculate pooled weighted mean differences (WMD) and odds ratios (OR) for body weight, BMI, waist-to-hip ratio (WHR), lipid profiles, and adverse events. Results: A total of 33 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) involving 3,053 participants were included in the analysis. TCM significantly reduced body weight (WMD = -5.86 kg, 95% CI: -7.51 to -4.21), BMI (WMD = -2.82 kg/m{superscript 2}, 95% CI: -3.38 to -2.25), and WHR (WMD = -0.04, 95% CI: -0.06 to -0.02). Lipid profiles improved, with reductions in total cholesterol (WMD = -0.82 mmol/L), triglycerides (WMD = -0.65 mmol/L), LDL-C (WMD = -0.39 mmol/L), and increased HDL-C (WMD = 0.29 mmol/L) (all p < 0.001). Adverse events were infrequent, with no significant difference observed between TCM and control groups (OR = 0.51, 95% CI: 0.24 to 1.08). Funnel plots indicated no publication bias. Conclusion: TCM appears effective in reducing body weight and improving lipid profiles in obese patients, with a low incidence of adverse events. It may serve as a complementary treatment for obesity, though further high-quality RCTs are needed to confirm these findings and assess long-term outcomes.

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Reprogramming of Iron and Oxygen Metabolism Across the Spectrum of Primary Aldosteronism

Parisien-La Salle, S.; Tsai, C. H.; Newman, A. J.; Heydarpour, M.; Mahrokhian, S.; Hanna, I.; Brown, J. M.; Waikar, S.; Moussa, M.; Vaidya, A.

2026-06-10 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.06.09.26355256 medRxiv
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Background: Pathologic aldosteronism induces oxidative stress, tissue injury, and increases in hemoglobin. Conversely, aldosterone antagonist therapy decreases hemoglobin. Whether these effects are attributable to aldosterone-mediated changes in iron and oxygen metabolism is unknown. Methods: The plasma proteome of participants with overt primary aldosteronism (PA) (n=50) was compared with participants without overt PA (n=61). To isolate aldosterone-dependent effects, participants without overt PA underwent oral sodium suppression testing to quantify the magnitude of renin-independent aldosterone production, enabling monotonic dose-response analyses across the continuum of renin-independent aldosteronism (subclinical to overt PA). Differential abundance testing was performed using empirical Bayes linear modeling, followed by Reactome pathway enrichment analysis and covariate-adjusted sensitivity analyses. To validate clinical relevance, aldosterone dose-response trends with blood count parameters were examined in this cohort, and an independent population-based cohort of 5,713 people with hypertension. Results: 903 proteins in the peripheral circulation were differentially abundant in overt PA versus participants without PA. The most significantly increased protein in overt PA was CYBRD1, involved in iron reduction and absorption. Pathway enrichment identified 16 iron- and heme-related pathways, including erythropoietin signaling, heme biosynthesis and mitochondrial iron-sulfur cluster biogenesis, with increases in heme and erythroid proteins and decreases in mitochondrial iron-sulfur proteins. Linear aldosterone dose-dependent trend analyses across the PA continuum further supported this signature, identifying progressive increases in hemoglobin subunits (HBA1/HBB), heme-related proteins (HMBS, UROS, AMBP, HPX, GLO1) and erythrocyte oxygen handling enzymes (CA1/CA3), alongside progressive reductions in mitochondrial electron transport chain subunits (CYCS, ETFA). These proteomic changes corresponded with aldosterone dose-dependent increases in red blood cell count, hemoglobin, and hematocrit, in this cohort and another population-based cohort. Conclusion: The continuum of PA is characterized by a progressive shift away from mitochondrial oxidative phosphorylation and toward increased intestinal iron absorption, preferential iron transport over storage, and enhanced heme synthesis and recycling, possibly reflecting cellular pseudohypoxia and systemic adaptations to increase oxygen delivery. These findings provide a novel mechanistic basis for aldosterone-mediated tissue injury and the benefits of aldosterone-directed therapy.

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Hanging on through Omicron, then what? A pre-exit baseline of the U.S. emergency nursing workforce, 2018 to 2022, with implications for the 2026 NSSRN cycle

Squire, K.

2026-06-08 nursing 10.64898/2026.06.07.26355097 medRxiv
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Background. The emergency department in the United States of America functions as a residual access point for healthcare and social services for populations including rural communities, the uninsured, mental health and addiction patients, and the unhoused. The workforce variable that determines unit function (experience density, the concentration of accumulated clinical judgment within a unit workforce) is not measured in hospital accounting systems. Objective. To document workforce composition changes in U.S. emergency nursing across the 2018 and 2022 cycles of the National Sample Survey of Registered Nurses (NSSRN), and to specify falsifiable predictions for the 2026 cycle. Methods. We analyzed NSSRN public-use files using a four-way ED definition extending Castner et al. (2024) and a hospital-bedside-restricted comparator. Variance estimation used jackknife replicate weights for 2018 and Successive Differences Replication for 2022. Burnout was operationalized using the Norful et al. (2023) leaving-reasons proxy across cycles, with sensitivity analysis using the 2022 direct burnout item. Results. A 15-year trajectory (2008-2022) documents progressive experience-density compression: the ED's 15+ year veteran cohort fell from 41.9% to 28.0% over the decade preceding the pandemic, a loss of nearly a third of the senior cohort and a 19.6% decline in mean experience density, before recovering modestly to 33.3% as veteran nurses remained through the pandemic acute phase, leaving the ED as the youngest hospital setting throughout. Hospital non-ED bedside nurses lost senior tenure between cycles (mean 15.65[-&gt;]14.06 years since first licensure; 15+ year share 43.5%[-&gt;]38.7%), while ED nurses retained their senior tail (mean 11.60[-&gt;]12.58). Burnout endorsement rose sharply in both populations (non-ED 27.3%[-&gt;]46.0%; ED 34.2%[-&gt;]61.2%), with the ED-vs-non-ED gap more than doubling. Controlling for tenure, ED status was not independently associated with burnout in 2018 (OR 1.15, 95% CI 0.83-1.59) but was strongly associated in 2022 (OR 1.92, 95% CI 1.44-2.55; p<.001). The direct burnout item showed a parallel pattern (OR 2.92, 95% CI 1.62-5.28). Conclusions. A pandemic-era setting-specific burnout effect emerged in emergency nursing that workforce-composition controls cannot explain. The 2022 cycle establishes a pre-exit baseline against which the 2026 NSSRN will serve as the falsifiable test of post-Omicron veteran exit. Nursing pipeline replacement lag exceeds the interval before 2026 data arrives; the consequences of inaction fall on populations dependent on ED-based residual access.

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Cross-Sectional Validation of an 8-Electrode Multi-Frequency Bioelectrical Impedance Analysis (BIA) Device Against Dual-Energy X-ray Absorptiometry (DEXA) for Body Composition Assessment in Indian Adults

Bheda, A.; Sharma, M.; Jokare, N.; Kapoor, S.; Chouksey, J.

2026-06-09 nutrition 10.64898/2026.05.24.26353564 medRxiv
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Background: Obesity is becoming a global health crisis, and it leads to various metabolic disorders. Body mass index fails to differentiate fat mass from lean mass and systematically misclassifies adiposity risk - a limitation particularly pronounced in South Asian adults, who exhibit characteristically elevated visceral adiposity and reduced appendicular lean mass at a normal BMI. The 2025 Lancet Commission explicitly recommends direct adiposity measurement beyond BMI for obesity diagnosis. Weight loss interventions - whether dietary, behavioural, or pharmacological - are consistently associated with concurrent reductions in both fat mass and lean mass, making body composition monitoring essential beyond scale weight alone. Although DEXA is globally accepted as a gold standard for body composition analysis, the accessibility of DEXA is limited, particularly in resource-constrained low and middle-income countries such as India. BIA devices are a convenient low-cost option to DEXA and can be used for body composition analysis more frequently than a DEXA scan to provide longitudinal data. The aim of this study is to validate 8 electrode BIA devices as a viable alternative to DEXA scan for the South Asian population. Methods: A prospective cross-sectional validation study was conducted following ethics committee approval, with a priori sample size estimation ( = 0.05, power = 80%). Fifty-eight healthy adults (n=58) underwent three BIA measurements and one DEXA scan each. To ensure statistical independence, the three BIA readings per participant were averaged, yielding 58 final measurements for validation. Body fat percentage, lean mass and fat mass were evaluated using Python with statistical analyses like Bland Altman analysis, Pearson correlation, ICC and regression analysis. Results: In this BIA vs DEXA study, the Pearson correlation was strong across all three outcomes (fat%: r = 0.97; fat mass: r = 0.98; lean mass: r = 0.96), with ICC (2,1) values of 0.94, 0.97, and 0.91 confirming excellent absolute agreement. Mean absolute error was 3.40% for fat percentage, 1.96 kg for fat mass, and 3.37 kg for lean mass. BIA systematically underestimated body fat percentage (bias -1.96%, 95% CI: -2.91% to -1.01%; LoA: -9.04% to +5.12%) and fat mass (bias -0.72 kg, 95% CI: -1.38 to -0.07 kg; LoA: -5.59 to +4.14 kg), while overestimating lean mass by +3.08 kg (95% CI: +2.34 to +3.82 kg; LoA: -2.46 to +8.62 kg). Conclusions: The 8-electrode BIA device shows clinically acceptable agreement with DEXA for body composition assessment in healthy Indian adults. It offers a radiation-free, cost-effective, accessible, and portable alternative to DEXA, making it suitable for longitudinal monitoring and trend detection. The device is particularly valuable for obesity screening and for tracking body composition changes during weight loss interventions at the population level, addressing the critical need for accessible body composition assessment in resource-limited settings.

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Incidence and Predictors of IOP-Lowering Treatment Following Detection of Referable Glaucoma in a Teleretinal Screening Program

Bolo, K.; Wong, B.; Do, J.; Ambite, J.-L.; Li, Z.; Kesselman, C.; Daskivich, L.; Xu, B.

2026-06-04 ophthalmology 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354782 medRxiv
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Purpose: To evaluate the incidence and baseline predictors of intraocular pressure (IOP)-lowering treatment following detection of referable glaucoma by teleretinal screening. Design: Retrospective cohort study. Methods: Participants were derived from a safety-net teleretinal diabetic retinopathy screening program (2013-2024). Participants included individuals who screened positive for referable glaucoma (cup-to-disc ratio [CDR] [&ge;]0.6 or CDR asymmetry [&ge;]0.2) and completed in-office diagnostic evaluation. The primary outcome was initiation of IOP-lowering treatment (medication, laser, or surgery) and the secondary outcome was intervention with surgery. Cumulative incidence functions were estimated, accounting for loss to follow-up. Fine-Gray models were used to identify baseline screening predictors to risk stratify each outcome. Glaucoma diagnosis was approximated using diagnostic codes and chart review. Results: 2,367 participants were included. The cumulative incidence of treatment was 19.6% (95% CI: 18.0-21.2) at Year 1 and 45.1% (42.1-48.1) at Year 8. Early treatment occurred primarily in glaucoma cases, whereas treatment accumulated longitudinally in glaucoma suspects, reaching 36.5% (31.6-41.5) by Year 8. Surgery was less common (8-year incidence: 5.3%). Baseline screening data predicted treatment and surgery, enabling risk stratification. At Year 8, cumulative incidence differed substantially between high- and low-risk groups (treatment: 59.9% vs. 31.2%; surgery: 9.7% vs. 1.0%). Older age (sub-distribution hazard ratio [SHR] 1.03 per year, p<0.001), Black race (SHR 1.50, p<0.001), and personal history of glaucoma (SHR 1.90, p<0.001) were associated with treatment; Asian race was protective (0.71, p=0.03). Older age (SHR 1.06, p<0.001), worse visual acuity (SHR 5.11 per logMAR unit, p<0.001), and screening at a hospital-based site (SHR 2.46, p=0.003) were associated with surgical treatment. Conclusion: Nearly half of safety-net diabetic patients screening positive for referable glaucoma initiated IOP-lowering treatment over 8 years, while few received surgery. Baseline screening characteristics enabled risk stratification of treatment and surgery. These findings address an evidence gap about longitudinal consequences of screening and suggest that its impact extends beyond detection of prevalent glaucoma to include identification of high-risk glaucoma suspects who warrant ongoing surveillance.

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Structured Patterns of Muscle Involvement in CAV3-Related Myopathy Revealed by Whole-Body CT Imaging

De Los Reyes, F. V. A.; Hayashi, S.; Saito, Y.; Ogawa, M.; Oya, Y.; Noguchi, S.; Nishino, I.

2026-06-04 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.06.03.26354504 medRxiv
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Caveolinopathies caused by CAV3 mutations present with heterogeneous clinical phenotypes ranging from asymptomatic hyperCKemia to limb-girdle-type muscular dystrophy. Although prior imaging studies have described commonly affected muscles, structured modeling of muscle involvement patterns in caveolinopathy has not been established. We analyzed whole-body skeletal muscle computed tomography imaging in eight patients with pathogenic or likely pathogenic CAV3 variants, comprising 14 imaging study samples. Fat infiltration across 43 muscles was graded using modified Mercuri scores. Computational multivariate analysis,including principal component analysis, clustering, and pseudotime modeling,was applied to characterize severity staging and distribution patterns. A statistically supported, stage-dependent continuum of muscle involvement was identified. Most samples demonstrated a distributed limb-girdle-predominant pattern with coordinated progression across muscle clusters. In contrast, one patient (three samples in longitudinal series) exhibited a compartment-restricted thigh-dominant pattern characterized by early posterior and medial thigh involvement. Rectus femoris showed consistent stage-dependent progression, while greater medial gastrocnemius involvement was associated with advanced severity. None of the patients exhibited clinical evidence of rippling muscle disease. These findings suggest that integrating semi-quantitative imaging with computational modeling may provide an objective framework for characterizing muscle involvement patterns in CAV3-related myopathy.

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Genotype is a predictor of blood pressure variability and relative systemic hypertension risk in sickle cell disease

Bowers, A. S. A.; Henry, K.; McConnell, B.; Francis, C.; Thaxter-Nesbeth, K.

2026-06-10 hematology 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355049 medRxiv
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Background Blood pressure (BP) regulation in individuals with sickle cell disease (SCD) is influenced by a complex interplay of genetic and physiological factors. While SCD has traditionally been associated with lower BP, there is an increased risk of hypertension. Emerging BP research suggests significant heterogeneity across genotypes, age groups, and sex. Objectives: This study investigated the longitudinal effects of population-level characteristics and continuous clinical and laboratory predictors on systolic (SBP) and diastolic blood pressure (DBP) in individuals with SCD, with emphasis on the interactions between baseline and predicted blood pressure slopes over time. Methods We retrospectively analyzed longitudinal data from a cohort of 2,739 patients with diverse SCD genotypes. Descriptive statistics were documented across sex, age range, genotype, health status and relative systemic hypertension risk categories (rHTN-risk). Linear mixed-effects models provided estimates of fixed- and random-effects of baseline BP and of time-related BP effects, respectively. Post-estimation margins provided contrasts of baseline-adjusted BP means and of pre-specified time effects on BP patterns. Results Males had significantly higher baseline SBP ({beta} = 6.64, p < 0.001) but lower baseline DBP ({beta} = -2.61, p < 0.001) compared with age-matched HbSS females. Baseline SBP was more unstable compared with baseline DBP and baseline DBP was more predictive of future BP trends than baseline SBP. Genotype was a consistent predictor of DBP (p < 0.05), but not of SBP. Similarly, we observed increased risks of relative diastolic hypertension across most genotypes, while the prevalence and magnitude of systolic hypertension was lower across all genotype compared with HbSS. Conclusions Blood pressure trajectories in SCD patients are not uniform and are significantly related to genotype, age group and sex over time. Baseline diastolic levels were less heterogenous and exhibited clear upward trajectories over time. These findings support the need for patient-specific BP surveillance in the care and management of SCD.

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Integrated cardiometabolic and nutritional risk profiling identifies pregnancy loss as a marker of systemic metabolic vulnerability

Agarwal, T.; Namburu, J. R.; Kachroo, P.

2026-06-08 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354910 medRxiv
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Background: Pregnancy loss has important implications for womens health. Although maternal age is a well-established risk factor, the contribution of routinely measured cardiometabolic and behavioral markers at population-scale remains incompletely characterized. Objective: To examine associations between cardiometabolic, nutritional, and behavioral risk markers and pregnancy loss among U.S. women of reproductive age. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional analysis of 4,842 U.S. women aged 20-44 years with [&ge;]1 pregnancy using the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey data (2013-2023). Pregnancy loss was defined as [&ge;]1 prior miscarriages. Exposures included body mass index, smoking exposure (cotinine), lipid biomarkers, vitamin D and folate, and a composite cardiometabolic-nutritional risk score. Survey-weighted logistic regression estimated adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals, with bootstrap resampling for predictor robustness. Results: The weighted prevalence of pregnancy loss was 23%. Higher odds of pregnancy loss were associated with increasing age (aOR per year=1.02; 95% CI: 1.00-1.04), Non-Hispanic Black race (aOR=1.32; 95% CI: 1.00-1.74), overweight (aOR=1.56; 95% CI: 1.16-2.11), obesity (aOR=2.06; 95% CI: 1.39-3.05), and smoking (aOR=1.58; 95% CI: 1.19-2.10). Adverse lipid profiles, particularly elevated triglycerides (aOR=1.83; 95% CI: 1.16-2.90) and high low-density lipoprotein (aOR=2.97; 95% CI: 1.45-6.61), were independently associated with pregnancy loss. Vitamin D/folate were not stable predictors. Higher composite cardiometabolic-nutritional risk scores were observed among women with pregnancy loss (P=0.026). Conclusion: Pregnancy loss clustered with adverse cardiometabolic and behavioral risk markers in a nationally representative population. These findings highlight pregnancy loss as a marker of broader metabolic vulnerability supporting the need for longitudinal studies and cardiometabolic profiling to inform preconception care and risk stratification.

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Recognition and Treatment of Primary Aldosteronism in the Updated Guideline Era

Tsai, C.-H.; Chang, Y.-C.; Chang, C.-C.; Wu, W.-C.; Chang, Y.-Y.; Chen, U.-L.; Lee, B.-C.; Hung, C.-S.; Huang, K.-H.; Chueh, J. S.; Wu, V.-C.; Lin, Y.-H.

2026-06-10 cardiovascular medicine 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355219 medRxiv
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Background: Primary aldosteronism (PA) is increasingly recognized as a common cause of hypertension. The 2025 Endocrine Society guideline introduced a simplified diagnostic framework, but its real-world clinical implications remain unclear. Methods: We conducted a multicenter retrospective cohort study of hypertensive patients undergoing PA testing in Taiwan. PA was defined biochemically according to the 2025 Endocrine Society criteria. Multivariable logistic regression identified factors associated with PA diagnosis and aldosterone-targeted therapy. Among patients with suppressed renin (?1 ng/mL/h), restricted cubic splines evaluated the adjusted association between renin and PA probability. Results: Among 18,766 patients undergoing PA testing, 6,760 (36.0%) met diagnostic criteria for PA. PA was associated with older age, female sex, lower potassium, resistant hypertension, and a higher antihypertensive medication burden. Among patients with suppressed renin, lower renin remained significantly associated with higher adjusted PA probability. However, only 39.0% of patients with PA received aldosterone-targeted therapy, including 28.2% who received mineralocorticoid receptor antagonist therapy within 6 months and 9.4% who underwent adrenalectomy during follow-up. Lower renin, higher aldosterone, lower potassium, and resistant hypertension were associated with aldosterone-targeted therapy, while younger patients with fewer comorbidities were more likely to undergo adrenalectomy. Conclusions: Using the updated diagnostic framework, PA was highly prevalent among hypertensive patients undergoing PA testing. Nevertheless, many patients who met these biochemical criteria did not receive aldosterone-targeted therapy in routine care. These findings highlight the potential treatment implications of broader PA recognition and support the development of practical pathways to guide MRA therapy, adrenalectomy referral, and individualized management.

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Cardiovascular Outcomes with GLP-1 Receptor Agonists in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes or Obesity Undergoing Surgical Aortic Valve Replacement

Lum, J.; Jordan, A.; Knigh, P.; Hisamoto, K.

2026-06-04 surgery 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354773 medRxiv
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Abstract Background: Glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RAs) have demonstrated cardiovascular benefit in type 2 diabetes and obesity, with recent observational data suggesting favorable associations after transcatheter aortic valve replacement. Whether similar associations exist after surgical aortic valve replacement (SAVR) is unknown. Methods: Retrospective propensity-matched cohort analysis using the TriNetX U.S. Collaborative Network. Adults with type 2 diabetes or obesity (BMI [&ge;]30 kg/m2) undergoing SAVR were categorized by GLP-1 RA exposure (any use within 3 months before through 1 year after SAVR) versus no use. One-to-one matching was performed on 44 covariates. Primary outcomes were 1-year all-cause mortality, heart failure, acute kidney injury, acute myocardial infarction, cerebral infarction, and atrial fibrillation. Sensitivity analyses included 30-day landmark restriction and falsification outcomes. Results: After matching, 1,984 patients were retained per cohort. GLP-1 RA use was associated with lower 1-year risks of all-cause mortality (4.8% vs 10.4%; HR, 0.44; 95% CI, 0.34-0.56), acute kidney injury (6.9% vs 10.1%; HR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.49-0.85), myocardial infarction (3.0% vs 5.1%; HR, 0.57; 95% CI, (0.40-0.82), heart failure (11.3% vs 15.7%; HR, 0.68; 95% CI, (0.51-0.90), and atrial fibrillation or flutter (10.1% vs 13.9%; HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.54-0.90; all P[&le;]006). Cerebral infarction did not differ. In landmark analysis, mortality, heart failure, and acute kidney injury associations persisted; myocardial infarction and atrial fibrillation associations were attenuated. Falsification outcomes were null. Conclusions: Perioperative GLP-1 RA use was associated with lower 1-year cardiovascular event rates after SAVR. These hypothesis-generating findings support prospective randomized investigation.

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Low-Dose Aspirin Adherence Following Objective cell-free RNA-Based Preeclampsia Risk Testing: A Real-World Survey Study

Moe, A. B.; Haverty, C.; Lee, M.; Hahn, S. E.; McElrath, T. F.; Jain, M.; Rasmussen, M.; Corso, A.; Larson, M. L.; Morrison, H.; Melroy, L. M.; Roofeh, J.; Phelps-Sandall, B.; Kiefer, D.; Biggio, J. R.

2026-06-10 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355195 medRxiv
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Introduction: Preeclampsia (PE) is a leading cause of maternal and neonatal morbidity and mortality, and low-dose aspirin (LDA) prophylaxis is the cornerstone of evidence-based prevention. Despite guideline recommendations, LDA adherence remains poor, with 10-25% of moderate-risk patients taking aspirin. Objective personalized risk stratification using biomarkers has been shown to motivate behavior change in other disease contexts. Survey data suggest that patients are more motivated to take aspirin if informed by an objective predictive test. Here, we report real-world LDA adherence among patients who received a high-risk result from a cell-free RNA (cfRNA) PE risk prediction test. Methods: This retrospective, observational survey study included asymptomatic patients of advanced maternal age (AMA; [&ge;] 35 years at delivery) with singleton pregnancies without USPSTF-defined preexisting high-risk conditions for PE who received the cfRNA PE risk prediction test. Patients who opted in to receive text message surveys were asked about LDA use following receipt of test results. High adherence was defined as reporting LDA use on at least 6 of 7 days per week at least 85% of the time surveyed. The primary analysis included patients with a high-risk test result and at least one LDA frequency survey response following receipt of test result. The observed proportion of adherent patients was compared to a baseline estimate of 25% using an exact binomial test. Results: Of 166 patients who received a cfRNA PE risk prediction test result, 48 (28.9%) received a high-risk result. Of these, 29 (60%) opted in and responded to at least one survey, constituting the primary analysis population. Twenty-seven of the 29 (93.1%; 95% CI: 78.0-98.1%) were classified as highly adherent, significantly higher than the 25% baseline adherence estimate for moderate-risk patients (p < 0.0001). Conclusion: Among surveyed patients who received a high-risk cfRNA PE test result, the proportion classified as highly adherent to LDA (93%) substantially exceeded published estimates of adherence in a similar patient population and met the clinically meaningful threshold of [&ge;] 80% associated with reduced risk of preterm preeclampsia. These findings indicate that objective and personalized biomarker risk testing may be a powerful driver of behavior change that current guidelines have failed to produce.

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Assessment of the accuracy of lung lesions diagnosis in adolescents with osteosarcoma using artificial intelligence

Uskova, N. G.; Gombolevskiy, V. A.; Chernina, V. Y.; Burenchev, D. V.; Akhaladze, D. G.; Panina, E. V.; Karachunskiy, A. I.; Tereschenko, G. V.; Goncharov, M. Y.; Soboleva, E. A.; Konopleva, E. I.; Bydanov, O. I.; Plekhov, S. Y.; Grachev, N. S.

2026-06-10 radiology and imaging 10.64898/2026.06.08.26354011 medRxiv
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Background. Lung metastases in osteosarcoma (OS) are the main cause of the death. The accuracy of the diagnosis of nodules by computed tomography (CT) of the lungs is critically important for determining the disseminated stage of the disease and planning surgical treatment. The use of artificial intelligence (AI) in the search for lung nodules increases the accuracy of diagnosis and reduces the chance of missing metastases. Objective: to evaluate the accuracy of lung nodules diagnosis in adolescents with OS using AI. Methods. A retrospective assessment of CT scans of adolescents with OS was performed. A pathological nodule with an average size of [&ge;]4 mm was considered a target finding. The diagnostic accuracy of an AI algorithm previously trained on an adult dataset was evaluated, and the number of false positives (FP) and false negatives (FN) was determined. Sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, area under the ROC curve (AUC), positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and F1-measure were calculated. Based on the obtained results, the effectiveness of the algorithm was assessed. Results. 248 CT scans of adolescents with OS were evaluated. The following results were obtained: in 5 cases, the AI algorithm showed a FP result (2.02%), in 34 cases, it showed a FN result (13.71%), and in 209 cases, a correct result (both true positive and true negative) (84.27%). The diagnostic accuracy of the algorithm was 0.843 (95% CI 0.794-0.887). The application of the AI algorithm in the practice of an X-ray doctor in a specific clinical task would allow to increase the sensitivity from 0.805 to 0.891, while ensuring an absolute decrease in the number of FN results by 8.59% and a relative decrease by 44%. Conclusion. The obtained results confirm the practical value of the application of the AI algorithm and justify the implementation of AI-assisted systems in the diagnostic protocols for lung metastases in adolescents with OS.

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End of Average. Understanding Overweight & Obesity: Rationale and Design.

Vanbrabant, E.; Roefs, A.; Goossens, G.; Lemmens, L.; Shapovalova, Y.; Hesen, J.; Mironiuc, C.

2026-06-08 primary care research 10.64898/2026.06.05.26354975 medRxiv
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Background: Obesity is globally recognized as a complex, multifactorial chronic disease, with biological, psychological, environmental and behavioural factors involved in both disease pathogenesis and maintenance. Although previous group-based studies demonstrated involvement of each of these factors, there is large inter-individual variability in the factors contributing to disease development as well as intervention outcomes, causing limited translatability to the individual level. This heterogeneity in treatment effectiveness might be due to differential causal and maintenance factors of obesity. To enable the transition from a one-size-fits-all approach to a more personalized approach for individuals with overweight or obesity, this study aims to investigate if and how the degree of weight loss and changes in daily life behaviour after a combined lifestyle intervention depend on individual baseline profiles comprising of person characteristics, biological, psychological, environmental and behavioural factors. Methods: This study will include 600 individuals varying in BMI, 200 participants with a healthy BMI (18.5-24.9kg/m2), 200 with overweight (BMI 25.0-29.9kg/m2), and 200 with obesity (BMI [&ge;]30.0kg/m2). For all participants, a comprehensive individual baseline profile is created, including person characteristics, biological, psychological, environmental and behavioural factors. A clustering method is applied to identify clusters of participants with similar characteristics. Next, we examine if and how these clusters are linked to bodyweight indicators measured at baseline, and how they relate to daily lifestyle behaviour, as measured by ecological momentary assessment (EMA) using a smartphone app and sensor technology (3-week measurements). Individuals with overweight or obesity will be randomized to the intensive lifestyle intervention or a lifestyle information condition, to determine if treatment response can be predicted based on cluster characteristics, how daily lifestyle behaviour changes after an intervention, and how changes in daily lifestyle behaviour relate to treatment response. Discussion: The End of Average study aims to characterize a large set of individuals varying in body weight to predict intervention effectiveness measured as changes in body weight indicators and in daily lifestyle behaviours. If reliable predictors of treatment success can be identified, these can be applied in personalized lifestyle interventions to improve lifestyle behaviour, body weight management and overall health.

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"We don't complain; it's just part of being a woman": frequency, knowledge, and sociocultural beliefs about dysmenorrhoea in a South African university cohort

Bedwell, G. J.; Madden, V. J.; Isaacs, A.; Khorommbi, H.; Moloi, N.; Papaioannou, G.; Solomons, S.; Sudan, S.; Parker, R.

2026-06-10 pain medicine 10.64898/2026.06.10.26355353 medRxiv
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Introduction Dysmenorrhoea is highly prevalent globally and interferes with engagement in education, work, social participation, and quality of life. Although evidence suggests that sociocultural beliefs influence how menstrual pain is understood and managed, relatively little research has explored dysmenorrhoea-related knowledge and beliefs within South Africa. This study aimed to (1) determine the frequency of dysmenorrhoea, (2) assess dysmenorrhoea-related knowledge and compare knowledge between menstruating and non-menstruating individuals, and (3) explore commonly held generational, cultural, and religious beliefs related to dysmenorrhoea in a South African university cohort. Methods We analysed data collected as part of a cross-sectional survey conducted among staff and students at a South African university. Participants completed demographic questions, items assessing dysmenorrhoea-related knowledge, and an adapted Working Ability, Location, Intensity, Days of Pain, Dysmenorrhoea (WaLIDD) questionnaire. Participants were also invited to provide free-text responses describing generational, cultural, and religious beliefs about dysmenorrhoea. Quantitative data were analysed descriptively and compared between menstruating and non-menstruating participants. Free-text responses were analysed using reflexive thematic analysis. Results A total of 863 participants completed the survey, including 578 current or past menstruators. The frequency (95%CI) of dysmenorrhoea was 75.4% (71.7-78.9). Most participants were classified as having moderate (53%) or severe (31%) dysmenorrhoea on the WaLIDD scale. Awareness of dysmenorrhoea was higher among participants who had menstruated than among those who had never menstruated (80.4% vs 55.3%, p<0.001). Most participants (85.1%) reported wanting more education about dysmenorrhoea and its impact. Reflexive thematic analysis of 246 free-text responses identified five themes: (1) menstrual pain is normalised, dismissed, and expected to endure, (2) reproductive meanings attached to menstrual pain, (3) moral, spiritual, and cultural interpretations of menstrual pain, (4) negotiating competing explanations for menstrual pain, and (5) managing and controlling menstrual pain symptoms. Across themes, dysmenorrhoea was interpreted through social, cultural, reproductive, spiritual, and biomedical frameworks that shaped how pain was understood, communicated, and managed. Conclusion Dysmenorrhoea is common in this South African university cohort, and is rarely understood as a purely biological symptom. Instead, menstrual pain is understood and managed through broader social, cultural, reproductive, moral, and biomedical narratives, which shape how pain is recognised, disclosed, legitimised, and treated. These findings highlight the importance of considering sociocultural beliefs alongside clinical factors when developing menstrual health education, support strategies, and healthcare services.

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Modeling cycle phases using hormone trajectories in women with and without polyendocrine metabolic ovarian syndrome

Stujenske, T. M.; Bouchard, T. P.; Troy, A.; Kelemen, S.; Folino, B.; Wills, T.; Sugden, L. A.

2026-06-04 obstetrics and gynecology 10.64898/2026.06.02.26354701 medRxiv
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The recent availability of at-home menstrual cycle tracking technology has created opportunities for personalized assessment of reproductive health, alongside improved characterization of hormone patterns in women with and without reproductive disorders such as polyendocrine metabolic ovarian syndrome (PMOS), which affects approximately 10% of reproductive-age women. In this study, we leverage self-tracked urinary hormone data to develop an autoregressive Hidden Markov model (arHMM) that maps cycle days to physiologically meaningful phases based on hormone trajectories. By modeling day-to-day hormonal dynamics rather than absolute hormone levels, and allowing variable phase durations, this approach accommodates substantial variability in menstrual cycles, thereby enabling meaningful comparisons within and between individuals. Across more than 3800 cycles from over 1100 individuals, we find that arHMM-derived phases reproduce expected hormonal patterns within follicular, periovulatory, and luteal phases, and that phase-based timing for hormone testing outperforms conventional cycle day-based testing in capturing the luteinizing hormone surge and post-ovulatory progesterone rise, highlighting limitations of fixed-day clinical protocols. We identify phase-specific differences between healthy controls and individuals with self-reported PMOS, including lower luteinizing hormone in the periovulatory phase, and reduced luteal-phase progesterone levels in PMOS. Furthermore, features derived from arHMM phase assignments enable classification of PMOS status with ~78% accuracy, demonstrating the potential of this approach for non-invasive PMOS screening.

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Transcriptomic Architecture of Type 2 Diabetes in Human Pancreatic Islets:An Integrative Meta-Analysis and Machine Learning Framework for Biomarker Discovery

Romero, R.

2026-06-10 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.06.08.26355184 medRxiv
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Background. Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) is defined by progressive pancreatic {beta}-cell dysfunction whose molecular underpinnings remain incompletely understood. Single-cohort transcriptomic analyses of donor islets have yielded heterogeneous gene lists of limited cross-study reproducibility, constraining both mechanistic interpretation and biomarker development. Methods. We combined two complementary analytical strategies applied to four public human islet transcriptomic cohorts (GSE25724, GSE20966, GSE38642, and GSE164416; n = 7-57 donors per contrast). For the integrative arm, three microarray datasets and one bulk RNA-seq dataset were processed independently and unified through gene-level random-effects meta-analysis, hallmark pathway scoring (GSVA/MSigDB), and iterative module refinement, yielding a two-axis disease framework. For the diagnostic arm, a consensus multi-method machine learning pipeline, combining LASSO penalized logistic regression, Support Vector Machine Recursive Feature Elimination (SVM-RFE), and Random Forest importance scoring, was applied to 184 differentially expressed genes from the RNA-seq cohort, with all normalization steps performed within leave-one-out cross-validation (LOOCV) folds to prevent data leakage. Machine learning classification of the RNA-seq cohort was additionally subjected to external transportability testing in the independent bulk human islet RNA-seq cohort GSE50244 using an overlap-restricted reduced score and a threshold fixed in the discovery cohort. Results. Meta-analysis across all four cohorts identified 337 high-confidence T2D-associated genes (96.1% directional concordance in beta-cell-enriched tissue). These were distilled into two refined 14-gene modules: ImmuneStress (MICB, HLA-DRA, HLA-DPA1, IL1R2, and others) and BetaCellIdentitySecretion (RASGRP1, PPP1R1A, SLC2A2, and others), whose composite IsletDysfunctionScore provided the most stable cross-platform separation of non-diabetic from T2D islets (Hedges' g = 1.80, p = 9.83 x $10^-17$, $\text{I}^2$= 0%). Consistent with progressive disease, IsletDysfunctionScore increased monotonically from non-diabetic to impaired glucose tolerance to T2D. Separately, the machine learning pipeline derived a 10-gene diagnostic panel: GABRA2, SLC2A2, ARG2, DKK3, PRIMA1, TAFA4, HHATL, PARVG, RNU1-70P, and the novel lncRNA ENSG00000284653, that achieved perfect discrimination in LOOCV (AUC = 1.000, sensitivity = 1.000, specificity = 1.000, zero misclassifications across all 57 donors). A leakage-verification experiment confirmed that this performance reflected genuine biological signal: global quantile normalization prior to cross-validation collapsed AUC to 0.380. External testing showed that 8 of the 10 panel genes were measurable in GSE50244. The frozen 8-gene reduced score retained strong discrimination (external AUC = 0.907), with 6 of 8 genes preserving directional concordance, but the discovery-derived threshold did not transfer because the external score distribution was shifted upward and compressed, yielding complete sensitivity but zero specificity at the frozen cutoff Conclusions. Integrating pathway-level meta-analysis with machine learning classification, we present a coherent two-axis model: immune/stress activation and loss of beta-cell identity/secretory competence, together with a compact, biologically interpretable 10-gene diagnostic signature. Panel genes converge on GABA signaling, glucose transport, arginine metabolism, WNT pathway inhibition, and a novel lncRNA, providing both mechanistic hypotheses and high-priority targets for external validation. These findings offer a reproducible transcriptomic scaffold for future mechanistic, biomarker, and clinical translation studies of human islet dysfunction. They also support external transportability of the core biological signal, while indicating that absolute operating thresholds are cohort-dependent and would require recalibration before deployment in independent datasets.

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A mechanistic model for genetic regulation of postmenopausal bone loss

Rattsev, I.; Mac Gabhann, F.; Hertz, D.; Taylor, C. O.

2026-06-08 endocrinology 10.64898/2026.06.04.26354968 medRxiv
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Bone remodeling is a tightly regulated physiological process that maintains bone health through coordinated action of bone-resorbing osteoclasts and bone-forming osteoblasts. Disruption of this balance, such as the one induced by estrogen decline after menopause, results in bone loss and osteoporosis. Genetic factors play an important role in determining bone mineral density (BMD) loss over time. However, translating genetic associations into individualized risk prediction remains challenging due to small effect size of individuals variants and non-linear interactions within the bone remodeling unit. Here, we present a bone cell population dynamics model that includes major regulatory pathways, such as the RANK/RANKL/OPG axis, Wnt signaling, and hormonal regulation by estrogen, parathyroid hormone, and TGF-{beta}. We calibrate the model on clinical data from healthy postmenopausal women, and women with reduced BMD undergoing anti-osteoporotic therapy. The calibrated model captures healthy BMD decline in postmenopausal women and therapeutic response to anti-osteoporotic medications. We mechanistically incorporate the effect of 22 variants across 8 genes involved in bone remodeling and simulate BMD trajectories in 1,000 virtual subjects differing by ancestry and genetic makeup. The median predicted 5-year BMD loss was 3.57% (95% prediction interval: 1.31-5.24), consistent with the values reported in the literature. The virtual individuals with African ancestry were predicted to experience the highest average 5-year BMD loss. The strongest genetic risk factors for bone loss were predicted to be CYP19A1 rs727479 and OPG rs3102735, while LRP5 rs11228240 emerged as a protective factor that could partially counteract the detrimental effects of other variants. Several epistatic effects were observed in the genetic interaction analysis. Mechanistically, our model suggested that estrogen exerts its effect on bone remodeling primarily by modulating osteoclast apoptosis. Overall, this framework demonstrates a proof-of-concept for integration of genetic risk factors into mechanistic models of disease and can be extended to other conditions with polygenic inheritance.

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Burden of Chronic Kidney Disease in China, 1990-2021: Findings from the 2021 Global Burden of Disease Study

Wang, M.; Zhao, T.; Wang, H.; Hou, S.; Fu, Y.

2026-06-09 epidemiology 10.64898/2026.06.06.26355056 medRxiv
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Introduction: To investigate the epidemiological characteristics of chronic kidney diseases (CKD) in China in 2021 and its trends between 1990 and 2021, in the context of significant population growth and lifestyle changes over the past 30 years that have likely influenced the CKD spectrum. Methods: Data on CKD prevalence, mortality, disability-adjusted life-years (DALY), and risk factors were obtained from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021. The estimated decadal percentage changes were calculated to evaluate changes in trends in prevalence, mortality and disease burden. Results: In 2021, an estimated 118.4 (95% UI 109.4 to 127.5) million people in China were affected by CKD, contributing to 204 230 (95% UI 164 736 to 246 372) deaths and 6.13 (95% UI 5.18 to 7.21) million DALY. Although CKD due to diabetes mellitus and hypertension accounted for less than a quarter of all cases, they were responsible for over 90% of CKD-related deaths. Over the past three decades, CKD mortality and DALY rates have steadily increased, although the prevalence has stabilized in the last decade. Diabetes mellitus type 2 and hypertension have emerged as key drivers of CKD burden in China. Conclusions: The CKD burden in China shows a dual pattern of rising incidence and high mortality from diabetes and hypertension-related chronic kidney disease, alongside persistently high years lived with disability from glomerulonephritis and other causes.

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Reproductive health in Mexican women with systemic lupus erythematosus: pregnancy outcomes, menstrual irregularities and early menopause

Sevilla-Parra, G.; Bravo-Garcia, F.; Mier y Teran Guevara, M.; Montes-Garcia, A.; Schäfer, A.; Ochoa-Rodriguez, N.; Bienvenu Caballero, M.; Gonzalez Zenteno, S. G.; Pena-Ayala, A.; Tinajero-Nieto, L.; Torres-Valdez, E.; Martinez, D.; Hernandez-Ledesma, A. L.; Medina-Rivera, A.; Alpizar-Rodriguez, D.

2026-06-09 sexual and reproductive health 10.64898/2026.06.07.26354004 medRxiv
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Objective: To characterize pregnancy outcomes and menstrual irregularities in Mexican women with systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and identify clinical factors associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes and early-onset menopause. Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional study of women with SLE enrolled in the Mexican Lupus Registry (LupusRGMX) between May 2021 and September 2024. Clinical and reproductive data were collected using standardized questionnaires. Menopause was defined as the absence of menstruation for [&ge;]12 consecutive months, and early menopause as onset before age 40. Univariable and multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to identify factors associated with pregnancy complications and early menopause. Results: A total of 210 women were included. Median age was 38 years (IQR 29-46) and median disease duration was 4 years (IQR 1-10). Among women with a history of pregnancy (47%), full-term delivery predominated (61%), while pregnancy loss occurred in 26% and preterm delivery in 13%. Pregnancy complications were reported in 9.6%, most commonly preeclampsia (6.7%). Younger maternal age was independently associated with pregnancy complications (OR 0.89, 95% CI 0.83-0.95) and adverse outcomes (OR 0.95, 95% CI 0.92-0.98). Higher disease activity was associated with complications in univariable analysis. Most pregnancies (68.3%) occurred before diagnosis. Early menopause was observed in 6.2% and independently associated with longer disease duration and older age. Conclusion: Younger maternal age was independently associated with adverse pregnancy outcomes, whereas disease activity showed an association in univariable analysis. Most pregnancies occurred prior to SLE diagnosis. Early menopause was associated with longer disease duration, suggesting impact of cumulative disease burden on ovarian function.